{"id":17449,"date":"2018-08-23T22:18:47","date_gmt":"2018-08-24T05:18:47","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.kith.org\/jed\/?p=17449"},"modified":"2018-08-23T22:18:47","modified_gmt":"2018-08-24T05:18:47","slug":"hugos-2018-stats-thoughts-irv-vs-first-past-the-post","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.kith.org\/jed\/2018\/08\/23\/hugos-2018-stats-thoughts-irv-vs-first-past-the-post\/","title":{"rendered":"Hugos 2018 stats thoughts: IRV vs first-past-the-post"},"content":{"rendered":"\r\n<p>I hope to post more about stats from this year\u2019s Hugo Awards soon. In this first such post, I\u2019m looking only at the cases where Instant Runoff Voting led to a different result than first-past-the-post would have:<\/p>\r\n<ul>\r\n  <li>Related Work: Rather to my surprise, Zoe Quinn\u2019s Gamergate book got the most first-round first-place votes, but the Le\u00a0Guin book pulled ahead in the 4th round of Instant Runoff, and ended up winning by a hundred votes.<\/li>\r\n  <li>Dramatic Presentation, Short Form: \u201cUSS Callister\u201d started out in first place by 30+ votes, but of course most of the \u201cMichael\u2019s Gambit\u201d voters went with \u201cTrolley Problem\u201d in Instant Runoff, so \u201cTrolley Problem\u201d jumped far into the lead in round 4 and stayed there.<\/li>\r\n  <li>Pro Artist: John Picacio started out slightly in the lead, but in round 4, more Kathleen Jennings voters went with Sana Takeda, who stayed in the lead to the end.<\/li>\r\n  <li>In the Campbell, Rebecca Roanhorse and Vina Jie-Min Prasad started out tied and traded the lead back and forth a couple of times, which I don\u2019t remember seeing happen before. (Roanhorse ended up with a substantial lead in the final IRV round.)<\/li>\r\n<\/ul>\r\n<p>(See also <a href=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/jed.hartman\/posts\/10217080972876400\">Facebook version of this post<\/a>, with comments from various folks.)<\/p>\r\n\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[82],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-17449","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-awards"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.kith.org\/jed\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/17449","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.kith.org\/jed\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.kith.org\/jed\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.kith.org\/jed\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/5"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.kith.org\/jed\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=17449"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.kith.org\/jed\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/17449\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":17450,"href":"https:\/\/www.kith.org\/jed\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/17449\/revisions\/17450"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.kith.org\/jed\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=17449"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.kith.org\/jed\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=17449"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.kith.org\/jed\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=17449"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}